CAPPS3模式在福州市预报效果检验     

王宏  冯宏芳  石钰  隋平  余永江 《辽宁气象》2011,(4):25-29

对2009年7月至2010年6月区域空气质量数值预报模式CAPPS3在福州市的应用进行效果检验,分析各季节CAPPS3预报福州市3种污染物SO2、NO2和PM10的等级预报准确率、转折性天气预报准确率及与监测值的相关系数以及综合评分。结果表明：夏秋季节CAPPS3模式3种污染物等级预报准确率较高,冬季NO2和春季PM10的等级预报准确率较低,错误等级预报多数偏高;转折性天气预报准确率夏秋季最高,春季最低,模式对天气形势的变化反应不灵敏,特别是污染物浓度突变时,预报能力较差,当天气形势稳定时,预报效果较好;CAPPS3模式浓度预报值较监测值有偏大和滞后的缺点;相关系数及综合评分结果夏秋季最高,春季最低。CAPPS3总体预报效果较好,可提供有价值的指导预报,适合业务运行。  相似文献   

嵊泗岛辉绿岩墙群的侵位方式:来自磁组构的证据          下载免费PDF全文

潘小青  沈忠悦  陈宁华  张志亮  吕青  商亮节 《地球物理学报》2011,54(12):3269-3279

岩墙磁组构能反映岩浆的侵位方式.中国东部嵊泗岛广泛发育了晚白垩世辉绿岩岩墙群.我们对其中8条不同走向岩墙进行了采样,沿岩墙两边部及横跨岩墙剖面获得共273个独立定向岩芯样品.岩石磁学分析表明辉绿岩的主要携磁矿物为多畴贫钛磁铁矿,可能含少量磁赤铁矿.各条岩墙的磁组构均具有低的各向异性度Pj＜1.2,且主轴的空间方位各不相...  相似文献   

浅海爆炸声传播损失及简正波分离实验研究     

刘立勇  王婷婷 《热带海洋学报》2011,(3)

文章简要介绍了浅海声传播损失的研究背景和基本理论方法。通过1/3倍频程滤波对浅海爆炸宽带信号的不同频段在浅海的传播损失情况进行了分析,描述了浅海环境对声传播损失的影响;同时在不知道先验信息的条件下,利用垂直阵声压数据成功地进行了简正波分离,并与理想条件下Kraken简正波模型计算出的结果进行了比较分析。  相似文献   

Variability of subduction rates of the subtropical North Pacific mode waters   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

胡海波  刘秦玉  张媛  刘伟 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2011,29(5):1131-1141

The climatology subduction rate for the entire Pacific is known, but the mechanism of interannual to decadal variation remains unclear. In this study, we calculated the annual subduction rates of three types of North Pacific subtropical mode waters using a general circulation model (LICOM1.0) for the period of 1958-2001. The model experiments focused on interannual variations of ocean dynamical processes under daily wind forcings and seasonal heat fluxes. The mode water formation region was defined by a potential vorticity minimum at outcrop locations. The model results show that two subduction rate maxima (>100 m/a) were located in the Subtropical Mode Water (STMW) and the Central Mode Water (CMW) formation regions. These regions are consistent with a climatologically calculated value. The subduction rate in the Eastern Subtropical Mode Water (ESTMW) formation region was smaller at about 75 m/a. The subduction rate shows clear interannual and decadal variations associated with oceanic dynamic variabilities. The average subduction rate of the STMW was much smaller during the period of 1981-1990 compared with other periods, while that of the CMW had a negative anomaly before 1975 and a positive anomaly after 1978. The variability agreed with Ekman and geostrophic advections and mixed layer depths. The interannual variability of the subduction rate for the ESTMW was smallest during 1970-1990, as a result of a weak wind stress curl. This paper explores how interannual signals from the atmosphere are stored in different parts of the ocean, and thus may contribute to a better understanding of feedback mechanisms for the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) event.  相似文献   

高速铁路地震预警系统现状综述   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3  

孙利  钟红  林皋 《世界地震工程》2011,27(3)

地震是对高速列车安全运营威胁最大的自然灾害。在目前地震预报技术还很不成熟的情况下,发展地震预警技术是当前减轻或避免地震对高速铁路危害的重要措施。文中阐述了地震预警技术的原理及其在铁路方面的应用。对国内外已有的高速铁路地震预警系统的发展和现状进行了介绍。结合国内外的发展现状和京沪高速铁路对地震预警系统的实际需求,对我国高速铁路的地震预警系统进行了探讨。主要针对高速铁路预警系统的报警阈值,监测点的布置,列车控制方式和预警系统的基本组成等关键问题的研究现状进行了总结和探讨。对我国高速铁路地震预警系统的建立具有重要的借鉴意义。  相似文献   

Research on mode localization of reticulated shell structures   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

Yan Weiming  Wang Zhuo  He Haoxiang§ . Beijing Laboratory of Earthquake Engineering  Structural Retrofit  Beijing University of Technology  Beijing  China . The Open University of China  Beijing  China 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2011,10(1):75-84

Reticulated shell structures (RSSs) are characterized as cyclically periodic structures. Mistuning of RSSs will induce structural mode localization. Mode localization has the following two features: some modal vectors of the structure change remarkably when the values of its physical parameters (mass or stiffness) have a slight change; and the vibration of some modes is mainly restricted in some local areas of the structure. In this paper, two quantitative assessment indexes are introduced that correspond to these two features. The first feature is studied through a numerical example of a RSS, and its induced causes are analyzed by using the perturbation theory. The analysis showed that internally, mode localization is closely related to structural frequencies and externally, slight changes of the physical parameters of the structure cause instability to the RSS. A scaled model experiment to examine mode localization was carried out on a Kiewit single-layer spherical RSS, and both features of mode localization are studied. Eight tests that measured the changes of the physical parameters were carried out in the experiment. Since many modes make their contribution in structural dynamic response, six strong vibration modes were tested at random in the experimental analysis. The change and localization of the six modes are analyzed for each test. The results show that slight changes to the physical parameters are likely to induce remarkable changes and localization of some modal vectors in the RSSs.  相似文献   

A family of explicit algorithms for general pseudodynamic testing   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

Shuenn-Yih Chang  Chi-Wei Hsu 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2011,10(1):51-64

A new family of explicit pseudodynamic algorithms is proposed for general pseudodynamic testing. One particular subfamily seems very promising for use in general pseudodynamic testing since the stability problem for a structure does not need to be considered. This is because this subfamily is unconditionally stable for any instantaneous stiffness softening system, linear elastic system and instantaneous stiffness hardening system that might occur in the pseudodynamic testing of a real structure. In addition, it also offers good accuracy when compared to a general second-order accurate method for both linear elastic and nonlinear systems.  相似文献   

西藏班公湖-怒江成矿带西段富铁矿与铜（金）矿C、Si、O、S和Pb同位素特征及地质意义   总被引：5，自引：2，他引：3  

吕立娜  赵元艺  宋亮  田毅  辛洪波 《地质学报》2011,85(8):1291-1304

本文在大量的野外地质调查与室内研究的基础上,对班公湖-怒江成矿带西段的4个典型矿床——材玛矽卡岩型铁矿床、弗野矽卡岩型铁矿床、尕尔穷矽卡岩型铜金矿床和多不杂斑岩型铜金矿床的C、Si、O、S和Pb同位素特征进行了研究.δ30Si、δ18O的研究结果表明,石英主要为岩浆热液成因,δ13C、δ18O同位素的研究结果表明,与成...  相似文献   

半咸水湖盆碳酸盐岩层序地层分析——以东营凹陷南坡中段沙四上亚段为例   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

杨勇强  邱隆伟  陈世悦 《地层学杂志》2011,(3):288-294

湖相碳酸盐岩分布于淡水湖盆和咸水湖盆地中,不同类型湖盆碳酸盐岩层序发育特征与构成样式明显存在差异。综合利用岩芯、录井、测井及地震等资料,对东营凹陷南坡中段地区进行了层序地层分析,发现湖相碳酸盐岩主要分布在湖侵体系域,研究区主要存在五种准层序类型：油页岩—白云岩型、油页岩—泥（晶）灰岩型、深水（泥）页岩—颗粒灰岩型、（泥...  相似文献   

青川县大院乡董家危岩体的成因机制与破坏模式     

范大波  沈军辉  丁尧  刘维国  刘海  张青宇 《地质灾害与环境保护》2011,22(2):83-87

从斜坡地貌演化、地质结构和变形特征研究董家危岩体的成因机制及破坏模式。结果表明,其危岩体是下部基座蠕变和上部灰岩倾倒拉裂所致,以倾倒式破坏为主,也可发生滑移式和坠落式破坏。  相似文献